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Grizzlies vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 11

FinalMadison Square Garden · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, MSG, DAZN (MSG)
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
4-8 · away
Final score
120-133
Projected: 113-120
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
7-3 · home
28% win MEMwin NY 72%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin7.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (6-3) host the Memphis Grizzlies (4-7) on Tuesday, November 11 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 120 – Knicks 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 6-0 at home and the Grizzlies are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for the Knicks and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Knicks W4, Grizzlies L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 120 – 113 Grizzlies, a margin of about 7.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.2 vs +0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.2 / MEM +0.2 per game
+5.0
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+7.3

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
41%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Grizzlies win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMNY
117.9
Points scored / game
117.8
117.7
Points allowed / game
111.8
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
39.1 %
3-point %
35.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
82.8 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
25.0
Assists / game
26.8
6.3
Steals / game
7.2
6.3
Blocks / game
4.4
15.5
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Grizzlies
Santi AldamaF · #3419pts / game
Ja MorantG · #110assists
Vince Williams Jr.G · #09rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1132pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1110assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

NY lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MEMNY
4-7Record6-3
117.9Points scored / game117.8
117.7Points allowed / game111.8
+0.2Adjusted margin / game+5.2
L1Current streakW4
3-7Last 10 games6-3
1-2 roadHome / road record6-0 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.