Trail Blazers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 18
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (15-54) host the Portland Trail Blazers (33-36) on Wednesday, March 18 at 7:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 127 – Pacers 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-24 at home and the Trail Blazers are 15-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Pacers L14, Trail Blazers W1).
The analysis Model
The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pacers 113 – 117 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs -2.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PORIND
Top performers
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #832pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #58assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2313reboundsPacers
Ivica ZubacC · #4018pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #910assistsIvica ZubacC · #408reboundsRecent form
PORIND
IND
Team comparison
| POR | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-36 | Record | 15-54 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 112.1 |
| 116.7 | Points allowed / game | 119.4 |
| -2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L14 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 15-20 road | Home / road record | 10-24 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Trail Blazers
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.