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Pacers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass
33% win INDwin POR 67%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin5.5
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (30-34) host the Indiana Pacers (15-48) on Sunday, March 8 at 9:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 111 – Trail Blazers 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 16-15 at home and the Pacers are 5-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 2-8 for the Pacers (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Pacers L8).

The analysis Model

The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 119 – 113 Pacers, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.5 / IND -5.7 per game
+3.2
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+5.5

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Pacers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

INDPOR
112.4
Points scored / game
114.4
119.1
Points allowed / game
117.4
47.1 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
31.2 %
3-point %
38.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
72.7 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
29.4
Assists / game
30.7
6.4
Steals / game
8.3
4.8
Blocks / game
2.7
14.8
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4322pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #29assists
Pascal SiakamF · #436rebounds
Trail Blazers
Scoot HendersonG · #0028pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #88assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

POR lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

INDPOR
15-48Record30-34
112.4Points scored / game114.4
119.1Points allowed / game117.4
-5.7Adjusted margin / game-2.5
L8Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games4-6
5-26 roadHome / road record16-15 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.