Thunder vs Nets prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 18
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets (17-51) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (54-15) on Wednesday, March 18 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 121 – Nets 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 9-24 at home and the Thunder are 25-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Nets L4, Thunder W9).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Nets 105 – 118 Thunder, a margin of about 12.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 222 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-7.4 vs +9.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (118.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCBKN
Top performers
Thunder
Jared McCainG · #326pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #26assists
Aaron WigginsG · #27reboundsNets
Jalen WilsonF · #2215pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #106assists
Chaney JohnsonF · #317reboundsRecent form
OKCBKN
BKN
Team comparison
| OKC | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 54-15 | Record | 17-51 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 106.4 |
| 107.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.1 |
| +9.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.4 |
| W9 | Current streak | L4 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 25-8 road | Home / road record | 9-24 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 26-56 (-7.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Nets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.