Nets vs Thunder prediction NBA · Friday, February 20
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (42-14) host the Brooklyn Nets (15-39) on Friday, February 20 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 86 – Thunder 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 95% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 22-7 at home and the Nets are 7-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Thunder and 3-7 for the Nets (current streaks: Thunder L1, Nets L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 122 – 101 Nets, a margin of about 20.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+10.1 vs -6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (108.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BKNOKC
Top performers
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1722pts / gameMichael Porter Jr.F · #175assistsMichael Porter Jr.F · #179reboundsThunder
Jared McCainG · #321pts / game
Cason WallaceG · #226assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #558reboundsRecent form
BKNOKC
BKN
Team comparison
| BKN | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-39 | Record | 42-14 |
| 106.8 | Points scored / game | 119.8 |
| 114.4 | Points allowed / game | 108.0 |
| -6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +10.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 7-20 road | Home / road record | 22-7 home |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.