Warriors vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 18
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (45-23) host the Golden State Warriors (33-35) on Wednesday, March 18 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 99 – Celtics 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 23-10 at home and the Warriors are 14-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 3-7 for the Warriors (current streaks: Celtics W2, Warriors W1).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 116 – 109 Warriors, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs +1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSBOS
Top performers
Warriors
Gary Payton IIG · #014pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #235assistsGary Payton IIG · #06reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #732pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #117assists
Jayson TatumF · #010reboundsRecent form
GSBOS
BOS
Team comparison
| GS | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-35 | Record | 45-23 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 113.8 | Points allowed / game | 107.1 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 14-20 road | Home / road record | 23-10 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.