Celtics vs Warriors prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (29-26) host the Boston Celtics (35-19) on Thursday, February 19 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 121 – Warriors 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 18-10 at home and the Celtics are 17-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Warriors L1, Celtics W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Warriors 112 – 114 Celtics, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.8 vs +6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSGS
Top performers
Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1126pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #713assistsJaylen BrownG · #715reboundsWarriors
De'Anthony MeltonG · #818pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #617assists
Al HorfordC · #208reboundsRecent form
BOSGS
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-19 | Record | 29-26 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 115.2 |
| 108.1 | Points allowed / game | 113.1 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 17-10 road | Home / road record | 18-10 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.