76ers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 17
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (41-27) host the Philadelphia 76ers (37-31) on Tuesday, March 17 at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 96 – Nuggets 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 18-13 at home and the 76ers are 17-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nuggets and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Nuggets L1, 76ers W2).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 120 – 114 76ers, a margin of about 6.8 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIDEN
Top performers
76ers
MarJon BeauchampF · #1616pts / game
Trendon WatfordF · #96assists
Andre DrummondC · #010reboundsNuggets
Christian BraunG · #022pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1514assists
Jonas ValanciunasC · #179reboundsRecent form
PHIDEN
DEN
Team comparison
| PHI | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-31 | Record | 41-27 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 120.7 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.7 |
| -1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.4 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 17-15 road | Home / road record | 18-13 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.