Nuggets vs 76ers prediction NBA · Monday, January 5
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (19-14) host the Denver Nuggets (23-12) on Monday, January 5 at 8:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 125 – 76ers 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 9-8 at home and the Nuggets are 13-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the 76ers and 4-6 for the Nuggets (current streaks: 76ers W3, Nuggets L2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects 76ers 116 – 118 Nuggets, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs +4.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENPHI
Top performers
Nuggets
Jalen PickettG · #2129pts / gameJalen PickettG · #217assists
Zeke NnajiF · #228rebounds76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2132pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #779assistsJoel EmbiidC · #2110reboundsRecent form
DENPHI
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-12 | Record | 19-14 |
| 123.4 | Points scored / game | 115.1 |
| 117.8 | Points allowed / game | 116.0 |
| +4.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 13-7 road | Home / road record | 9-8 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 24-58 (-6.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.