Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Suns vs Celtics prediction NBA · Monday, March 16

FinalTD Garden · NBC Sports BO, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass

Phoenix Suns

39-29 · away

Final score

112-120

Projected: 108-116

Boston Celtics

45-23 · home

26% win PHXwin BOS 74%

FavoriteBOS

Projected margin8.1

Projected total223

ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (44-23) host the Phoenix Suns (39-28) on Monday, March 16 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Suns 112 – Celtics 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 22-10 at home and the Suns are 17-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Celtics W1, Suns L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 116 – 108 Suns, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs +0.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics

Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.4 / PHX +0.6 per game

+5.8

Home-court advantageCeltics at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Celtics

+8.1

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+

44%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

25%

Suns win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

PHXBOS

112.7

Points scored / game

114.5

112.0

Points allowed / game

107.0

45.6 %

Field goal %

46.5 %

31.9 %

3-point %

38.6 %

39.7

3-pointers attempted / game

41.5

73.9 %

Free throw %

76.0 %

39.7

Rebounds / game

44.3

25.3

Assists / game

27.8

8.7

Steals / game

9.0

5.3

Blocks / game

3.8

14.0

Turnovers / game

15.5

Top performers

Suns

Devin BookerG · #1540pts / game

Oso IghodaroF · #118assists

Jalen GreenG · #47rebounds

Celtics

Jaylen BrownG · #741pts / game

Jaylen BrownG · #76assists

Jaylen BrownG · #77rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

PHX

No games played yet.

BOS

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

BOS lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHX		BOS
39-28	Record	44-23
112.7	Points scored / game	114.5
112.0	Points allowed / game	107.0
+0.6	Adjusted margin / game	+6.4
L1	Current streak	W1
6-4	Last 10 games	6-4
17-15 road	Home / road record	22-10 home
36-46 (-3.0)	Last season	61-21 (+9.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.