Celtics vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (33-25) host the Boston Celtics (37-19) on Tuesday, February 24 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 97 – Suns 81. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 19-11 at home and the Celtics are 19-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Suns and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Suns L1, Celtics W3).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 110 – 114 Celtics, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs +6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSPHX
Top performers
Celtics
Derrick WhiteG · #922pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #98assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8813rebounds
Suns
Collin GillespieG · #1215pts / game
Oso IghodaroF · #115assists
Ryan DunnF · #06reboundsRecent form
BOS
PHXTeam comparison
| BOS | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-19 | Record | 33-25 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 112.8 |
| 107.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.5 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.3 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 19-10 road | Home / road record | 19-11 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
BOS