Warriors vs Knicks prediction NBA · Sunday, March 15
At a glance
The New York Knicks (44-25) host the Golden State Warriors (32-34) on Sunday, March 15 at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 107 – Knicks 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 24-9 at home and the Warriors are 13-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Knicks and 3-7 for the Warriors (current streaks: Knicks W2, Warriors L4).
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 117 – 111 Warriors, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.1 vs +1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSNY
Top performers
Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #225pts / game
Gui SantosF · #157assistsGui SantosF · #157reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1130pts / gameJalen BrunsonG · #119assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3212reboundsRecent form
GSNY
NY
Team comparison
| GS | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-34 | Record | 44-25 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 116.9 |
| 113.8 | Points allowed / game | 110.8 |
| +1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| L4 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 13-19 road | Home / road record | 24-9 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.