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Knicks vs Warriors prediction NBA · Thursday, January 15

FinalChase Center · Prime Video, DAZN (MSG)
42% win NYwin GS 58%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin2.4
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (22-19) host the New York Knicks (26-15) on Thursday, January 15 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 113 – Warriors 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 14-6 at home and the Knicks are 9-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Warriors and 4-6 for the Knicks (current streaks: Warriors W1, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 116 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +2.1 / NY +3.6 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKnicks played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Warriors
+2.4

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

NYGS
118.4
Points scored / game
115.1
114.1
Points allowed / game
112.6
42.2 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
35.9 %
3-point %
36.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
75.8 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
43.8
26.8
Assists / game
25.6
7.2
Steals / game
9.6
4.4
Blocks / game
3.8
14.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #825pts / game
Josh HartG · #310assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3220rebounds
Warriors
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #1032pts / game
Stephen CurryG · #307assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #108rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NYGS
26-15Record22-19
118.4Points scored / game115.1
114.1Points allowed / game112.6
+3.6Adjusted margin / game+2.1
L1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games6-4
9-11 roadHome / road record14-6 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.