Mavericks vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, March 15
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26) host the Dallas Mavericks (22-45) on Sunday, March 15 at 3:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 130 – Cavaliers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 80% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 22-12 at home and the Mavericks are 8-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 1-9 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Mavericks L1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 121 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 10.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.4 vs -3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALCLE
Top performers
Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3227pts / gameCooper FlaggF · #3210assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #2511reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4526pts / gameDonovan MitchellG · #4511assists
Evan MobleyC · #411reboundsRecent form
DALCLE
CLE
Team comparison
| DAL | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-45 | Record | 41-26 |
| 113.1 | Points scored / game | 119.5 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 114.3 |
| -3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 8-25 road | Home / road record | 22-12 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.