Hornets vs Spurs prediction NBA · Saturday, March 14
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (48-19) host the Charlotte Hornets (34-33) on Saturday, March 14 at 3:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 102 – Spurs 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 25-7 at home and the Hornets are 20-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Spurs and 8-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Spurs L1, Hornets W2).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 117 – 112 Hornets, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHASA
Top performers
Hornets
Miles BridgesF · #2222pts / game
Kon KnueppelG · #73assistsKon KnueppelG · #76reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #132pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #510assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #112reboundsRecent form
CHASA
SA
Team comparison
| CHA | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-33 | Record | 48-19 |
| 114.1 | Points scored / game | 118.1 |
| 112.6 | Points allowed / game | 112.8 |
| +1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 20-16 road | Home / road record | 25-7 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.