Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Spurs vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, January 31

FinalSpectrum Center · Prime Video, KENS 5
53% win SAwin CHA 47%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin0.9
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (21-28) host the San Antonio Spurs (32-16) on Saturday, January 31 at 12:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 106 – Hornets 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 9-13 at home and the Spurs are 16-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Hornets W5, Spurs W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Hornets 114 – 115 Spurs, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -0.4 / SA +2.8 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-0.9

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

SACHA
116.5
Points scored / game
114.1
113.2
Points allowed / game
114.6
46.0 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
34.6 %
3-point %
30.6 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
78.3 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
47.4
28.2
Assists / game
20.6
9.8
Steals / game
6.8
6.6
Blocks / game
5.2
12.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Spurs
Dylan HarperG · #220pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #59assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #18rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2426pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1410rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SACHA
32-16Record21-28
116.5Points scored / game114.1
113.2Points allowed / game114.6
+2.8Adjusted margin / game-0.4
W1Current streakW5
6-4Last 10 games7-3
16-10 roadHome / road record9-13 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.