Suns vs Pacers prediction NBA · Thursday, March 12
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (15-50) host the Phoenix Suns (38-27) on Thursday, March 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Suns 123 – Pacers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-22 at home and the Suns are 16-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Pacers and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Pacers L10, Suns W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Suns, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 112 – 116 Suns, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.9 vs +0.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXIND
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1543pts / gameDevin BookerG · #155assistsDevin BookerG · #157reboundsPacers
Andrew NembhardG · #223pts / game
Kam JonesG · #196assists
Jalen SlawsonF · #188reboundsRecent form
PHXIND
IND
Team comparison
| PHX | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-27 | Record | 15-50 |
| 112.5 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 111.9 | Points allowed / game | 119.2 |
| +0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.9 |
| W3 | Current streak | L10 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 16-14 road | Home / road record | 10-22 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.