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Pacers vs Suns prediction NBA · Thursday, November 13

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
1-11 · away
Final score
98-133
Projected: 113-117
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
8-5 · home
36% win INDwin PHX 64%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin4.5
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (7-5) host the Indiana Pacers (1-10) on Thursday, November 13 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 98 – Suns 133. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 5-1 at home and the Pacers are 0-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Suns and 1-9 for the Pacers (current streaks: Suns W4, Pacers L5).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Suns 117 – 113 Pacers, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX -0.2 / IND -4.0 per game
+3.8
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Back-to-backSuns played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Suns
+4.5

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Pacers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

INDPHX
113.6
Points scored / game
115.5
118.3
Points allowed / game
115.8
47.1 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
31.2 %
3-point %
31.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
72.7 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
39.7
29.4
Assists / game
25.3
6.4
Steals / game
8.7
4.8
Blocks / game
5.3
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #221pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #28assists
Jeremiah Robinson-EarlF · #237rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1533pts / game
Devin BookerG · #157assists
Jordan GoodwinG · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHX lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

INDPHX
1-10Record7-5
113.6Points scored / game115.5
118.3Points allowed / game115.8
-4.0Adjusted margin / game-0.2
L5Current streakW4
1-9Last 10 games6-4
0-6 roadHome / road record5-1 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.