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Knicks vs Jazz prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 11

FinalDelta Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
42-25 · away
Final score
134-117
Projected: 122-113
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
20-46 · home
77% win NYwin UTAH 23%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin9.3
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (20-45) host the New York Knicks (42-25) on Wednesday, March 11 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 134 – Jazz 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 12-21 at home and the Knicks are 18-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Jazz and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Jazz W1, Knicks L2).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Jazz 113 – 122 Knicks, a margin of about 9.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.6 vs +5.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.6 / NY +5.0 per game
-11.6
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-9.3

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Knicks win by 10+
48%

Stat comparison Current season

NYUTAH
116.9
Points scored / game
116.6
111.0
Points allowed / game
124.3
42.2 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
35.9 %
3-point %
33.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
75.8 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.8
Assists / game
26.8
7.2
Steals / game
5.0
4.4
Blocks / game
6.4
14.8
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1128pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #413rebounds
Jazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2829pts / game
Brice SensabaughF · #285assists
Andersson GarciaG · #09rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

NY lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

NYUTAH
42-25Record20-45
116.9Points scored / game116.6
111.0Points allowed / game124.3
+5.0Adjusted margin / game-6.6
L2Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games2-8
18-16 roadHome / road record12-21 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.