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Jazz vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, December 5

FinalMadison Square Garden · MSG, DAZN (MSG), KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
8-14 · away
Final score
112-146
Projected: 109-125
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
15-7 · home
11% win UTAHwin NY 89%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin15.2
Projected total234
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (14-7) host the Utah Jazz (8-13) on Friday, December 5 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 112 – Knicks 146. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 89% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 11-1 at home and the Jazz are 2-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 4-6 for the Jazz (current streaks: Knicks W1, Jazz W2).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 125 – 109 Jazz, a margin of about 15.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.2 vs -6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +5.2 / UTAH -6.1 per game
+11.3
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backJazz played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Knicks
+15.2

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
66%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
15%
Jazz win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHNY
116.2
Points scored / game
118.6
123.4
Points allowed / game
112.5
45.4 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
33.9 %
3-point %
35.9 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
26.8
Assists / game
26.8
5.0
Steals / game
7.2
6.4
Blocks / game
4.4
17.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2318pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #87assists
Lauri MarkkanenF · #239rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1133pts / game
Josh HartG · #36assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #329rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

NY lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHNY
8-13Record14-7
116.2Points scored / game118.6
123.4Points allowed / game112.5
-6.1Adjusted margin / game+5.2
W2Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games7-3
2-7 roadHome / road record11-1 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.