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Pacers vs Kings prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10

FinalGolden 1 Center · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
48% win INDwin SAC 52%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin0.7
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (15-50) host the Indiana Pacers (15-49) on Tuesday, March 10 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 109 – Kings 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 10-22 at home and the Pacers are 5-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Kings and 1-9 for the Pacers (current streaks: Kings W1, Pacers L9).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Kings 116 – 115 Pacers, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.5 / IND -5.9 per game
-1.6
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
+0.7

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pacers win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

INDSAC
112.3
Points scored / game
111.4
119.3
Points allowed / game
120.2
47.1 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
31.2 %
3-point %
30.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
72.7 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
41.5
29.4
Assists / game
22.8
6.4
Steals / game
6.8
4.8
Blocks / game
2.5
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Pacers
Aaron NesmithG · #2329pts / game
Kam JonesG · #199assists
Jarace WalkerF · #59rebounds
Kings
Devin CarterG · #9924pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #189assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

INDSAC
15-49Record15-50
112.3Points scored / game111.4
119.3Points allowed / game120.2
-5.9Adjusted margin / game-7.5
L9Current streakW1
1-9Last 10 games3-7
5-27 roadHome / road record10-22 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.