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Kings vs Pacers prediction NBA · Monday, December 8

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, NBC Sports CA
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
6-18 · away
Final score
105-116
Projected: 114-118
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
6-18 · home
37% win SACwin IND 63%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin4.1
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (5-18) host the Sacramento Kings (6-17) on Monday, December 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Kings 105 – Pacers 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 4-8 at home and the Kings are 3-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pacers and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Pacers W1, Kings W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pacers, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 118 – 114 Kings, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -4.0 / SAC -5.8 per game
+1.8
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
+4.1

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Kings win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

SACIND
113.1
Points scored / game
113.2
119.9
Points allowed / game
118.0
44.5 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
30.0 %
3-point %
31.2 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
73.1 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
44.0
22.8
Assists / game
29.4
6.8
Steals / game
6.4
2.5
Blocks / game
4.8
14.3
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1824pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1814assists
Russell WestbrookG · #1812rebounds
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #228pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #212assists
Jay HuffC · #327rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SACIND
6-17Record5-18
113.1Points scored / game113.2
119.9Points allowed / game118.0
-5.8Adjusted margin / game-4.0
W1Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games4-6
3-10 roadHome / road record4-8 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.