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Hornets vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
54% win CHAwin POR 46%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin1.2
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (31-34) host the Charlotte Hornets (32-33) on Tuesday, March 10 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 103 – Trail Blazers 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 17-15 at home and the Hornets are 18-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Trail Blazers and 6-4 for the Hornets (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Hornets L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 115 Hornets, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.3 / CHA +1.2 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-1.2

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hornets win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAPOR
114.2
Points scored / game
114.6
112.8
Points allowed / game
117.3
41.7 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
30.6 %
3-point %
38.9 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
85.2 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
46.3
20.6
Assists / game
30.7
6.8
Steals / game
8.3
5.2
Blocks / game
2.7
19.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2423pts / game
Brandon MillerF · #244assists
Brandon MillerF · #249rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #324pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #87assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CHA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

CHAPOR
32-33Record31-34
114.2Points scored / game114.6
112.8Points allowed / game117.3
+1.2Adjusted margin / game-2.3
L2Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
18-16 roadHome / road record17-15 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.