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Trail Blazers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Saturday, February 28

FinalSpectrum Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
34% win PORwin CHA 66%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin5.1
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (29-31) host the Portland Trail Blazers (29-31) on Saturday, February 28 at 1:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 93 – Hornets 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 12-16 at home and the Trail Blazers are 13-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Hornets W3, Trail Blazers W1).

The analysis Model

The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 118 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA +0.7 / POR -2.1 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
+5.1

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

PORCHA
115.0
Points scored / game
114.3
117.5
Points allowed / game
113.5
51.1 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
38.9 %
3-point %
30.6 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
70.8 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
47.4
30.7
Assists / game
20.6
8.3
Steals / game
6.8
2.7
Blocks / game
5.2
13.3
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #525pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #54assists
Donovan ClinganC · #238rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2426pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CHA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PORCHA
29-31Record29-31
115.0Points scored / game114.3
117.5Points allowed / game113.5
-2.1Adjusted margin / game+0.7
W1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games7-3
13-16 roadHome / road record12-16 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.