Celtics vs Spurs prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (47-18) host the Boston Celtics (43-21) on Tuesday, March 10 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 116 – Spurs 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 24-6 at home and the Celtics are 22-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Spurs W4, Celtics W2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Spurs 114 – 113 Celtics, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSSA
Top performers
Celtics
Derrick WhiteG · #934pts / gameDerrick WhiteG · #97assists
Sam HauserF · #307reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #139pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #49assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #111reboundsRecent form
BOSSA
SA
Team comparison
| BOS | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-21 | Record | 47-18 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 106.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.5 |
| +6.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 22-11 road | Home / road record | 24-6 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.