Spurs vs Celtics prediction NBA · Saturday, January 10
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (24-13) host the San Antonio Spurs (26-12) on Saturday, January 10 at 8:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 100 – Celtics 95. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 12-6 at home and the Spurs are 13-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Celtics W1, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Celtics 116 – 112 Spurs, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SABOS
Top performers
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #421pts / gameDe'Aaron FoxG · #46assists
Julian ChampagnieF · #3013reboundsCeltics
Derrick WhiteG · #929pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #77assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8813reboundsRecent form
SABOS
SA
Team comparison
| SA | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-12 | Record | 24-13 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 114.3 | Points allowed / game | 109.9 |
| +2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 13-7 road | Home / road record | 12-6 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.