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Raptors vs Rockets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Space City Home Network, TSN, NBA League Pass
33% win TORwin HOU 67%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin5.5
Projected total225
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (39-24) host the Toronto Raptors (36-27) on Tuesday, March 10 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 99 – Rockets 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 21-8 at home and the Raptors are 19-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Rockets L1, Raptors W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 115 – 110 Raptors, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +4.0 / TOR +0.8 per game
+3.2
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+5.5

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Raptors win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

TORHOU
113.2
Points scored / game
114.6
112.3
Points allowed / game
109.8
44.2 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
30.4 %
3-point %
40.4 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
79.0 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.3
Assists / game
28.2
14.3
Steals / game
10.2
5.5
Blocks / game
6.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #925pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #56assists
RJ BarrettF · #96rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #729pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #16assists
Alperen SengunC · #2812rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

HOU lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

TORHOU
36-27Record39-24
113.2Points scored / game114.6
112.3Points allowed / game109.8
+0.8Adjusted margin / game+4.0
W1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
19-11 roadHome / road record21-8 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.