Rockets vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (1-3) host the Houston Rockets (1-2) on Wednesday, October 29 at 6:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 139 – Raptors 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 0-1 at home and the Rockets are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Raptors and 1-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Raptors L3, Rockets W1).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Raptors 112 – 117 Rockets, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-3.5 vs +4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUTOR
Top performers
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #731pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #289assists
Steven AdamsC · #1212reboundsRaptors
Scottie BarnesF · #431pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assistsScottie BarnesF · #45reboundsRecent form
HOUTOR
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 116.2 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 111.1 | Points allowed / game | 117.6 |
| +4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.5 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 1-2 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.