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Grizzlies vs 76ers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
43% win MEMwin PHI 57%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin2.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (34-30) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-40) on Tuesday, March 10 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 129 – 76ers 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 17-16 at home and the Grizzlies are 11-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the 76ers and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: 76ers L2, Grizzlies L4).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects 76ers 117 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers and the Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -1.2 / MEM -1.0 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
+2.1

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Grizzlies win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMPHI
116.6
Points scored / game
114.6
117.8
Points allowed / game
116.0
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
39.1 %
3-point %
32.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
82.8 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
42.2
25.0
Assists / game
24.6
6.3
Steals / game
9.8
6.3
Blocks / game
5.6
15.5
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Grizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #226pts / game
Ty JeromeG · #28assists
Cedric CowardF · #2316rebounds
76ers
Cameron PaynePG · #2032pts / game
Cameron PaynePG · #2010assists
Kelly Oubre Jr.G · #1012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

MEMPHI
23-40Record34-30
116.6Points scored / game114.6
117.8Points allowed / game116.0
-1.0Adjusted margin / game-1.2
L4Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games4-6
11-21 roadHome / road record17-16 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.