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76ers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 30

FinalFedExForum · NBC, Peacock
36% win PHIwin MEM 64%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin4.6
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (15-17) host the Philadelphia 76ers (16-14) on Tuesday, December 30 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 139 – Grizzlies 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 7-8 at home and the 76ers are 7-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Grizzlies and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, 76ers L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 118 – 113 76ers, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +0.8 / PHI -1.5 per game
+2.3
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+4.6

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
76ers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIMEM
113.9
Points scored / game
117.0
115.7
Points allowed / game
116.1
42.8 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
32.6 %
3-point %
39.1 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
77.5 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
50.0
24.6
Assists / game
25.0
9.8
Steals / game
6.3
5.6
Blocks / game
6.3
12.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2134pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #012assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2110rebounds
Grizzlies
Ja MorantG · #140pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #245assists
Cedric CowardF · #2316rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHIMEM
16-14Record15-17
113.9Points scored / game117.0
115.7Points allowed / game116.1
-1.5Adjusted margin / game+0.8
L3Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
7-6 roadHome / road record7-8 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.