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Grizzlies vs Nets prediction NBA · Monday, March 9

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
63% win MEMwin BKN 37%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin4.0
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (16-47) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-39) on Monday, March 9 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 115 – Nets 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nets are 8-22 at home and the Grizzlies are 11-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Nets and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Nets W1, Grizzlies L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 112 – 116 Grizzlies, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.2 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.2 / MEM -0.9 per game
-6.3
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-4.0

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Grizzlies win by 10+
32%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMBKN
116.6
Points scored / game
106.6
117.7
Points allowed / game
115.0
45.3 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
39.1 %
3-point %
36.7 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
82.8 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
43.5
25.0
Assists / game
24.0
6.3
Steals / game
10.0
6.3
Blocks / game
4.0
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Grizzlies
Rayan RupertG · #1220pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #248assists
Rayan RupertG · #128rebounds
Nets
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2019pts / game
Ben SarafG · #777assists
Danny WolfF · #29rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MEMBKN
23-39Record16-47
116.6Points scored / game106.6
117.7Points allowed / game115.0
-0.9Adjusted margin / game-7.2
L3Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games1-9
11-20 roadHome / road record8-22 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.