Nets vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (16-22) host the Brooklyn Nets (11-24) on Sunday, January 11 at 3:30 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Nets 98 – Grizzlies 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 8-11 at home and the Nets are 6-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 4-6 for the Nets (current streaks: Grizzlies L2, Nets L2).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 117 – 110 Nets, a margin of about 7.1 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.1 vs -4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BKNMEM
Top performers
Nets
Noah ClowneyF · #2117pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #106assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2013reboundsGrizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2321pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2413assists
Jock LandaleC · #319reboundsRecent form
BKNMEM
BKN
Team comparison
| BKN | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-24 | Record | 16-22 |
| 108.1 | Points scored / game | 116.8 |
| 113.7 | Points allowed / game | 116.7 |
| -4.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.1 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 6-9 road | Home / road record | 8-11 home |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.