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Bulls vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8

FinalGolden 1 Center · CHSN+, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
57% win CHIwin SAC 43%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin2.2
Projected total234
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (14-50) host the Chicago Bulls (26-37) on Sunday, March 8 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 110 – Kings 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 9-22 at home and the Bulls are 10-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 2-8 for the Bulls (current streaks: Kings L3, Bulls W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Kings 116 – 118 Bulls, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.8 vs -3.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (115.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.8 / CHI -3.2 per game
-4.5
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
-2.2

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

CHISAC
115.9
Points scored / game
111.2
119.7
Points allowed / game
120.3
42.1 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
27.6 %
3-point %
30.0 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
41.5
24.4
Assists / game
22.8
9.0
Steals / game
6.8
4.8
Blocks / game
2.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Bulls
Collin SextonG · #1028pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #310assists
Josh GiddeyG · #312rebounds
Kings
Malik MonkG · #030pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1812assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHISAC
26-37Record14-50
115.9Points scored / game111.2
119.7Points allowed / game120.3
-3.2Adjusted margin / game-7.8
W1Current streakL3
2-8Last 10 games2-8
10-19 roadHome / road record9-22 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.