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Kings vs Bulls prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
1-4 · away
Final score
113-126
Projected: 113-118
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
4-0 · home
36% win SACwin CHI 64%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin4.6
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (3-0) host the Sacramento Kings (1-3) on Wednesday, October 29 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 113 – Bulls 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 2-0 at home and the Kings are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-0 for the Bulls and 1-3 for the Kings (current streaks: Bulls W3, Kings L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bulls, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 118 – 113 Kings, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI +0.1 / SAC -0.5 per game
+0.7
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKings played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Bulls
+4.6

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Kings win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

SACCHI
114.4
Points scored / game
117.8
115.1
Points allowed / game
117.6
44.5 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
30.0 %
3-point %
27.6 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
73.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
44.8
22.8
Assists / game
24.4
6.8
Steals / game
9.0
2.5
Blocks / game
4.8
14.3
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Kings
Zach LaVineG · #830pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #177assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1111rebounds
Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1427pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #312assists
Nikola VucevicC · #914rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SACCHI
1-3Record3-0
114.4Points scored / game117.8
115.1Points allowed / game117.6
-0.5Adjusted margin / game+0.1
L2Current streakW3
1-3Last 10 games3-0
0-2 roadHome / road record2-0 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.