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Hornets vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Peacock, NBCSN, FanDuel SN SE, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
46% win CHAwin PHX 54%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin1.2
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (36-27) host the Charlotte Hornets (32-32) on Sunday, March 8 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 99 – Suns 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 21-13 at home and the Hornets are 18-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 7-3 for the Hornets (current streaks: Suns W1, Hornets L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Suns 113 – 112 Hornets, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.2 / CHA +1.4 per game
-1.1
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+1.2

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hornets win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAPHX
114.4
Points scored / game
112.3
112.8
Points allowed / game
112.1
41.7 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
30.6 %
3-point %
31.9 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
85.2 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
39.7
20.6
Assists / game
25.3
6.8
Steals / game
8.7
5.2
Blocks / game
5.3
19.0
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #122pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16assists
Brandon MillerF · #249rebounds
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1530pts / game
Devin BookerG · #1510assists
Khaman MaluachC · #109rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHAPHX
32-32Record36-27
114.4Points scored / game112.3
112.8Points allowed / game112.1
+1.4Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L1Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games5-5
18-15 roadHome / road record21-13 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.