Knicks vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Friday, March 6
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (39-24) host the New York Knicks (41-23) on Friday, March 6 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 142 – Nuggets 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 17-12 at home and the Knicks are 17-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nuggets and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Nuggets W2, Knicks L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nuggets 115 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYDEN
Top performers
Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #834pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1115assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1538pts / gameNikola JokicC · #155assistsNikola JokicC · #158reboundsRecent form
NYDEN
DEN
Team comparison
| NY | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-23 | Record | 39-24 |
| 116.8 | Points scored / game | 120.5 |
| 110.9 | Points allowed / game | 116.2 |
| +5.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 17-14 road | Home / road record | 17-12 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.