Nuggets vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 4
At a glance
The New York Knicks (33-18) host the Denver Nuggets (33-18) on Wednesday, February 4 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 127 – Knicks 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 21-6 at home and the Nuggets are 19-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Knicks W7, Nuggets L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Nuggets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 118 – 114 Nuggets, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks and the Nuggets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENNY
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2739pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #1514reboundsKnicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1142pts / gameJalen BrunsonG · #119assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3212reboundsRecent form
DENNY
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-18 | Record | 33-18 |
| 120.1 | Points scored / game | 117.6 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 111.8 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L2 | Current streak | W7 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 19-8 road | Home / road record | 21-6 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.