Pistons vs Spurs prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (44-18) host the Detroit Pistons (45-15) on Thursday, March 5 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 106 – Spurs 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 21-6 at home and the Pistons are 21-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Spurs W1, Pistons L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Spurs 115 – 114 Pistons, a margin of about 0.8 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETSA
Top performers
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #226pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #28assists
Jalen DurenC · #07reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #138pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #512assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #116reboundsRecent form
DETSA
SA
Team comparison
| DET | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 45-15 | Record | 44-18 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 110.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.5 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 21-8 road | Home / road record | 21-6 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.