Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Spurs vs Pistons prediction NBA · Monday, February 23

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · Peacock, FanDuel SN DET
36% win SAwin DET 64%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin4.4
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (42-13) host the San Antonio Spurs (40-17) on Monday, February 23 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 114 – Pistons 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 22-6 at home and the Spurs are 19-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Pistons and 9-1 for the Spurs (current streaks: Pistons W5, Spurs W8).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 117 – 112 Spurs, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +6.0 / SA +4.0 per game
+2.1
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+4.4

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Spurs win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

SADET
117.7
Points scored / game
117.2
113.0
Points allowed / game
110.1
46.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
37.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
78.3 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
46.8
28.2
Assists / game
27.0
9.8
Steals / game
8.0
6.6
Blocks / game
7.2
12.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Spurs
Devin VassellG · #2428pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #511assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #117rebounds
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #025pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assists
Jalen DurenC · #014rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

SA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

SADET
40-17Record42-13
117.7Points scored / game117.2
113.0Points allowed / game110.1
+4.0Adjusted margin / game+6.0
W8Current streakW5
9-1Last 10 games8-2
19-11 roadHome / road record22-6 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.