Raptors vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (39-23) host the Toronto Raptors (35-26) on Thursday, March 5 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 107 – Timberwolves 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 21-11 at home and the Raptors are 19-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 5-5 for the Raptors (current streaks: Timberwolves W4, Raptors L1).
The analysis Model
The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Timberwolves 117 – 112 Raptors, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORMIN
Top performers
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #925pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #57assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #197reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #522pts / game
Rudy GobertC · #275assistsRudy GobertC · #2712reboundsRecent form
TORMIN
MIN
Team comparison
| TOR | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-26 | Record | 39-23 |
| 113.2 | Points scored / game | 118.3 |
| 112.5 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 19-10 road | Home / road record | 21-11 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.