Timberwolves vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 4
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (30-21) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (31-20) on Wednesday, February 4 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 128 – Raptors 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 14-11 at home and the Timberwolves are 14-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Raptors and 4-6 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Raptors W1, Timberwolves L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Raptors 114 – 115 Timberwolves, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINTOR
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #530pts / gameAnthony EdwardsG · #55assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712reboundsRaptors
Brandon IngramF · #725pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #58assists
Scottie BarnesF · #410reboundsRecent form
MINTOR
MIN
Team comparison
| MIN | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-20 | Record | 30-21 |
| 118.5 | Points scored / game | 113.1 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 112.8 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 14-12 road | Home / road record | 14-11 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.