Mavericks vs Hornets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (30-31) host the Dallas Mavericks (21-39) on Tuesday, March 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 90 – Hornets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 13-16 at home and the Mavericks are 7-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Hornets W4, Mavericks L3).
The analysis Model
The Hornets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 118 – 112 Mavericks, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALCHA
Top performers
Mavericks
Brandon WilliamsG · #1218pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #94assists
Khris MiddletonF · #228reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2417pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Sion JamesG · #48reboundsRecent form
DALCHA
CHA
Team comparison
| DAL | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-39 | Record | 30-31 |
| 113.9 | Points scored / game | 114.2 |
| 117.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.2 |
| -2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | W4 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 7-20 road | Home / road record | 13-16 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.