Hornets vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Thursday, January 29
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (19-28) host the Charlotte Hornets (20-28) on Thursday, January 29 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 123 – Mavericks 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Mavericks are 14-13 at home and the Hornets are 11-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Mavericks and 7-3 for the Hornets (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Hornets W4).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 115 – 114 Hornets, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Mavericks and the Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHADAL
Top performers
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #734pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Miles BridgesF · #228reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3249pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #126assists
Caleb MartinF · #1611reboundsRecent form
CHADAL
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-28 | Record | 19-28 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 114.1 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.3 |
| -0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.9 |
| W4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 11-15 road | Home / road record | 14-13 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.