Rockets vs Wizards prediction NBA · Monday, March 2
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (16-43) host the Houston Rockets (37-22) on Monday, March 2 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 123 – Wizards 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 11-20 at home and the Rockets are 17-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Wizards and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Wizards L4, Rockets L1).
The analysis Model
The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 109 – 120 Rockets, a margin of about 11.5 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-9.4 vs +4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (114.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUWSH
Top performers
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2832pts / game
Reed SheppardG · #1510assistsAlperen SengunC · #2813reboundsWizards
Bilal CoulibalyG · #023pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #74assistsBub CarringtonG · #75reboundsRecent form
HOUWSH
WSH
Team comparison
| HOU | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-22 | Record | 16-43 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 111.5 |
| 109.3 | Points allowed / game | 122.6 |
| +4.4 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | L4 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 17-15 road | Home / road record | 11-20 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.