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Wizards vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · MNMT, NBA League Pass, Space City Home Network
6% win WSHwin HOU 94%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin19.8
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (6-3) host the Washington Wizards (1-10) on Wednesday, November 12 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 112 – Rockets 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 94% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 2-1 at home and the Wizards are 1-5 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for the Rockets and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Rockets W1, Wizards L9).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 126 – 106 Wizards, a margin of about 19.8 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.7 vs -11.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +5.7 / WSH -11.8 per game
+17.5
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+19.8

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
78%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
9%
Wizards win by 10+
1%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHHOU
110.7
Points scored / game
117.9
124.6
Points allowed / game
111.2
48.0 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
28.5 %
3-point %
40.4 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
83.1 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
25.8
Assists / game
28.2
7.4
Steals / game
10.2
5.6
Blocks / game
6.0
13.6
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2025pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #189assists
Alex SarrC · #2011rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #723pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #18assists
Alperen SengunC · #2813rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

HOU lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

WSHHOU
1-10Record6-3
110.7Points scored / game117.9
124.6Points allowed / game111.2
-11.8Adjusted margin / game+5.7
L9Current streakW1
1-9Last 10 games6-3
1-5 roadHome / road record2-1 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.