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Trail Blazers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1

FinalState Farm Arena · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
33% win PORwin ATL 67%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin5.6
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (30-31) host the Portland Trail Blazers (29-32) on Sunday, March 1 at 6:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 101 – Hawks 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 13-16 at home and the Trail Blazers are 13-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Hawks W3, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

The Hawks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 119 – 113 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -0.5 / POR -2.3 per game
+1.7
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Hawks
+5.6

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

PORATL
114.7
Points scored / game
117.3
117.4
Points allowed / game
117.9
51.1 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
38.9 %
3-point %
34.8 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
70.8 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
41.4
30.7
Assists / game
32.2
8.3
Steals / game
10.2
2.7
Blocks / game
3.6
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #523pts / game
Donovan ClinganC · #235assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2315rebounds
Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1725pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #18assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PORATL
29-32Record30-31
114.7Points scored / game117.3
117.4Points allowed / game117.9
-2.3Adjusted margin / game-0.5
L1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games6-4
13-17 roadHome / road record13-16 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.