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Hawks vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Thursday, January 15

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
49% win ATLwin POR 51%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin0.3
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (19-22) host the Atlanta Hawks (20-22) on Thursday, January 15 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 101 – Trail Blazers 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 10-10 at home and the Hawks are 13-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Trail Blazers and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Trail Blazers L2, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 118 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.6 / ATL -0.6 per game
-2.0
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+0.3

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hawks win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLPOR
118.3
Points scored / game
114.7
119.0
Points allowed / game
117.7
46.9 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
34.8 %
3-point %
38.9 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
72.8 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
46.3
32.2
Assists / game
30.7
10.2
Steals / game
8.3
3.6
Blocks / game
2.7
14.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1726pts / game
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #77assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1724pts / game
Shaedon SharpeG · #175assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2312rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

ATLPOR
20-22Record19-22
118.3Points scored / game114.7
119.0Points allowed / game117.7
-0.6Adjusted margin / game-2.6
L1Current streakL2
5-5Last 10 games7-3
13-11 roadHome / road record10-10 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.