Grizzlies vs Pacers prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (15-45) host the Memphis Grizzlies (22-36) on Sunday, March 1 at 5:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 125 – Pacers 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-21 at home and the Grizzlies are 10-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pacers and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Pacers L5, Grizzlies W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pacers 115 – 117 Grizzlies, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMIND
Top performers
Grizzlies
Taylor HendricksF · #2219pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #114assists
GG JacksonF · #459reboundsPacers
Jarace WalkerF · #521pts / game
Kam JonesG · #1910assists
Micah PotterC · #99reboundsRecent form
MEMIND
IND
Team comparison
| MEM | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-36 | Record | 15-45 |
| 116.6 | Points scored / game | 112.5 |
| 117.7 | Points allowed / game | 118.7 |
| -0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 10-19 road | Home / road record | 10-21 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.