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Pacers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Saturday, October 25

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
0-2 · away
Final score
103-128
Projected: 118-119
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
2-1 · home
46% win INDwin MEM 54%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin1.3
Projected total237
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (1-1) host the Indiana Pacers (0-1) on Saturday, October 25 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 103 – Grizzlies 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 1-1 at home. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Grizzlies and 0-1 for the Pacers (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Pacers L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Grizzlies 119 – 118 Pacers, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +2.0 / IND +1.4 per game
+0.6
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Back-to-backGrizzlies played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+1.3

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pacers win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

INDMEM
118.7
Points scored / game
121.6
117.1
Points allowed / game
119.3
47.1 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
31.2 %
3-point %
39.1 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
72.7 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
50.0
29.4
Assists / game
25.0
6.4
Steals / game
6.3
4.8
Blocks / game
6.3
14.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Pacers
Bennedict MathurinG · #2426pts / game
Pascal SiakamF · #436assists
Obi ToppinF · #19rebounds
Grizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2327pts / game
Ja MorantG · #18assists
Santi AldamaF · #348rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

MEM lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

INDMEM
0-1Record1-1
118.7Points scored / game121.6
117.1Points allowed / game119.3
+1.4Adjusted margin / game+2.0
L1Current streakL1
0-1Last 10 games1-1
0-0 roadHome / road record1-1 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.