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Cavaliers vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass
77% win CLEwin BKN 23%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin9.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (15-44) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (37-24) on Sunday, March 1 at 3:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 106 – Nets 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 8-21 at home and the Cavaliers are 17-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Nets L7, Cavaliers L2).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 110 – 119 Cavaliers, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.1 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.1 / CLE +4.3 per game
-11.4
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-9.1

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Cavaliers win by 10+
47%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEBKN
119.9
Points scored / game
106.7
114.7
Points allowed / game
115.0
46.8 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
36.7 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
79.3 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
43.5
26.3
Assists / game
24.0
8.8
Steals / game
10.0
7.5
Blocks / game
4.0
17.3
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Cavaliers
James HardenG · #122pts / game
James HardenG · #18assists
Evan MobleyC · #413rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1726pts / game
Danny WolfF · #25assists
Danny WolfF · #29rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEBKN
37-24Record15-44
119.9Points scored / game106.7
114.7Points allowed / game115.0
+4.3Adjusted margin / game-7.1
L2Current streakL7
7-3Last 10 games2-8
17-13 roadHome / road record8-21 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.